1 of 19 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 1 distributing, 17 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 5.9M ERRAND $1K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 7h ago | |
0xd01f…4f54Whale | Sell | 4.7M ERRAND $1K | SWAP | 0.3x | 0% | 26% | 8h ago | |
0xe6c9…1b9eWhale | Received | 8.8M ERRAND $3K | Rotation | 0.8x | 100% | 0% | 11h ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 2.8M ERRAND $853 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 13h ago | |
0xfb04…afe6Whale | Sell | 6.4M ERRAND $2K | SWAP | 0.5x | 0% | 47% | 14h ago | |
0xfb04…afe6Whale | Sell | 6.4M ERRAND $2K | SWAP | 0.5x | 0% | 47% | 14h ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 8.4M ERRAND $2K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 18h ago | |
0x64dd…ffeaWhale | Buy | 4.5M ERRAND $1K | SWAP | 0.6x | 71% | 42% | 22h ago | |
0x1ebd…6728Whale | Sell | 12.1M ERRAND $4K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 96% | 22h ago | |
0x3bd4…1ac7Whale | Sell | 22.0M ERRAND $6K | SWAP | 0.2x | 0% | 24% | 23h ago | |
0xb062…5fc1Whale | Sell | 5.4M ERRAND $2K | SWAP | 1.8x | 0% | 179% | 1d ago | |
0xb062…5fc1Whale | Sell | 5.4M ERRAND $2K | SWAP | 1.8x | 0% | 179% | 1d ago | |
0x26fa…72f0Whale | Buy | 5.8M ERRAND $2K | SWAP | 0.8x | 100% | 0% | 2d ago | |
0x26fa…72f0Whale | Buy | 9.4M ERRAND $2K | SWAP | 0.8x | 100% | 0% | 2d ago | |
0x26fa…72f0Whale | Buy | 10.0M ERRAND $2K | SWAP | 0.8x | 100% | 0% | 2d ago | |
0x1d46…12b6Whale | Received | 4.2M ERRAND $1K | Rotation | 0.2x | 41% | 0% | 2d ago | |
0x1d46…12b6Whale | Received | 4.4M ERRAND $1K | Rotation | 0.2x | 41% | 0% | 2d ago | |
0x1ebd…6728Whale | Sell | 32.2M ERRAND $8K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 96% | 2d ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into ERRAND?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 147M | 14.7% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 397M | 39.7% | 80% | |
| Retail | 354M | 35.4% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 102M | 10.2% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
0.0% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?