6 of 20 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 0 distributing, 14 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x8daa…269cWhale | Sell | 3.7M MVA $707 | SWAP | 0.5x | 0% | 54% | 17h ago | |
0xabe0…98b1Whale | Buy | 15.0M MVA $2K | Rotation | 0.7x | 95% | 7% | 1d ago | |
0x26fa…72f0Whale | Buy | 19.1M MVA $2K | SWAP | 2.2x | 100% | 0% | 1d ago | |
0x60bc…80efWhale | Sell | 19.9M MVA $2K | SWAP | 0.4x | 0% | 40% | 1d ago | |
0xfb04…afe6Whale | Sell | 15.7M MVA $2K | SWAP | 0.3x | 0% | 28% | 2d ago | |
0xabe0…98b1Whale | Buy | 7.2M MVA $1K | SWAP | 0.7x | 95% | 7% | 2d ago | |
0xcee3…e3aeWhale | Moved | 6.8M MVA $1K | BRIDGE | — | — | — | 2d ago | |
0xaea8…110bWhale | Sell | 4.7M MVA $826 | SWAP | 0.6x | 75% | 14% | 2d ago | |
0x1ebd…6728Whale | Sell | 12.0M MVA $2K | SWAP | 1.7x | 0% | 165% | 2d ago | |
0x1ebd…6728Whale | Sell | 12.0M MVA $2K | SWAP | 1.7x | 0% | 165% | 2d ago | |
0xaea8…110bWhale | Buy | 1.7M MVA $860 | SWAP | 0.6x | 75% | 14% | 3d ago | |
0xcee3…e3aeWhale | Moved | 3.2M MVA $1K | BRIDGE | — | — | — | 3d ago | |
0xcee3…e3aeWhale | Moved | 3.5M MVA $2K | BRIDGE | — | — | — | 3d ago | |
0xaea8…110bWhale | Buy | 1.7M MVA $625 | SWAP | 0.6x | 75% | 14% | 3d ago | |
0xe6c9…1b9eWhale | Buy | 3.0M MVA $984 | SWAP | 0.6x | 100% | 0% | 3d ago | |
0xfb04…afe6Whale | Buy | 2.8M MVA $1K | Rotation | 0.3x | 0% | 28% | 3d ago | |
0xaea8…110bWhale | Buy | 1.6M MVA $500 | SWAP | 0.6x | 75% | 14% | 4d ago | |
0xaea8…110bWhale | Buy | 1.9M MVA $500 | SWAP | 0.6x | 75% | 14% | 4d ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into MVA?
No tracked wallet rotated out of MVA recently.
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 205M | 20.5% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 277M | 27.7% | 80% | |
| Retail | 425M | 42.5% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 93.8M | 9.4% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
0.0% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?