50 of 157 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 24 distributing, 83 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 3 market maker wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x9db5…be2fWhale | Sent | 1.4M PROLOGUE $8K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.7x | 0% | 71% | 5h ago | |
0xeddb…0ff0Whale | Sell | 343K PROLOGUE $2K | Rotation | 1.0x | 0% | 101% | 7h ago | |
0xeddb…0ff0Whale | Sell | 343K PROLOGUE $2K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 101% | 7h ago | |
0xeddb…0ff0Whale | Received | 685K PROLOGUE $4K | Rotation | 1.0x | 0% | 101% | 8h ago | |
0xd01f…4f54Whale | Sell | 500K PROLOGUE $3K | SWAP | 1.6x | 38% | 116% | 8h ago | |
0x627d…81adWhale | Buy | 945K PROLOGUE $5K | SWAP | 1.2x | 65% | 54% | 9h ago | |
0x133d…3ed6Whale | Sell | 1.0M PROLOGUE $6K | SWAP | 0.9x | 19% | 75% | 10h ago | |
0x9db5…be2fWhale | Sell | 1.0M PROLOGUE $6K | SWAP | 0.7x | 0% | 71% | 17h ago | |
0x9db5…be2fWhale | Sell | 1.0M PROLOGUE $6K | SWAP | 0.7x | 0% | 71% | 17h ago | |
0x1e1b…3cc0Whale | Sell | 131K PROLOGUE $744 | SWAP | 2.0x | 36% | 154% | 22h ago | |
0x4128…c873Whale | Buy | 201K PROLOGUE $1K | SWAP | 1.1x | 12% | 103% | 22h ago | |
0xeddb…0ff0Whale | Sell | 679K PROLOGUE $4K | Rotation | 1.0x | 0% | 101% | 1d ago | |
0x8692…4b2eWhale | Buy | 274K PROLOGUE $2K | SWAP | 0.8x | 97% | 4% | 1d ago | |
0x4128…c873Whale | Buy | 208K PROLOGUE $1K | SWAP | 1.1x | 12% | 103% | 1d ago | |
0x8692…4b2eWhale | Buy | 261K PROLOGUE $2K | SWAP | 0.8x | 97% | 4% | 1d ago | |
0x4e88…3ec1Whale | Buy | 140K PROLOGUE $800 | SWAP | 2.1x | 66% | 91% | 1d ago | |
0x2338…cf5bWhale | Sell | 945K PROLOGUE $5K | SWAP | 2.5x | 0% | 246% | 1d ago | |
0x2338…cf5bWhale | Sell | 945K PROLOGUE $5K | SWAP | 2.5x | 0% | 246% | 1d ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into PROLOGUE?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 68.0M | 6.8% | 85% | |
| Market makers | 4.0M | 0.4% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 577M | 57.7% | 80% | |
| Retail | 89.6M | 9.0% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 261M | 26.1% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
13.7% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?