27 of 158 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 22 distributing, 109 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 3 market maker wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x06de…f2d1Whale | Sell | 789K MOO $4K | SWAP | 15x | 87% | 202% | 2m ago | |
0x0ad1…d9dfWhale | Sell | 250K MOO $1K | SWAP | 1.8x | 30% | 152% | 11m ago | |
0xa0f1…3fb7Whale | Sent | 184K MOO $883 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 39m ago | |
0x701e…24a2Whale | Sell | 1.6M MOO $8K | SWAP | 0.6x | 0% | 63% | 40m ago | |
0x701e…24a2Whale | Sent | 1.6M MOO $8K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.6x | 0% | 63% | 40m ago | |
0x679f…599cWhale | Sell | 600K MOO $3K | SWAP | 0.8x | 62% | 25% | 43m ago | |
0x9563…26e8Whale | Sell | 2.0M MOO $10K | SWAP | 1.1x | 0% | 112% | 55m ago | |
0x696c…7e03Whale | Sell | 2.1M MOO $11K | SWAP | 74x | 0% | 7,381% | 1h ago | |
0x696c…7e03Whale | Sell | 493K MOO $2K | SWAP | 74x | 0% | 7,381% | 1h ago | |
0x679f…599cWhale | Sell | 600K MOO $3K | SWAP | 0.8x | 62% | 25% | 2h ago | |
0x06de…f2d1Whale | Sell | 228K MOO $1K | SWAP | 15x | 87% | 202% | 2h ago | |
0xacf0…d4ecWhale | Sell | 652K MOO $4K | SWAP | 19x | 0% | 1,934% | 4h ago | |
0xacf0…d4ecWhale | Sell | 652K MOO $4K | SWAP | 19x | 0% | 1,934% | 4h ago | |
0xacf0…d4ecWhale | Sell | 435K MOO $2K | SWAP | 19x | 0% | 1,934% | 4h ago | |
0xacf0…d4ecWhale | Sell | 579K MOO $3K | SWAP | 19x | 0% | 1,934% | 4h ago | |
0xacf0…d4ecWhale | Sell | 773K MOO $4K | SWAP | 19x | 0% | 1,934% | 4h ago | |
0xacf0…d4ecWhale | Sell | 1.0M MOO $6K | SWAP | 19x | 0% | 1,934% | 4h ago | |
0xa362…2bf2Whale | Sent | 778K MOO $4K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.3x | 53% | 0% | 4h ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into MOO?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 94.2M | 9.5% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 550M | 55.7% | 80% | |
| Retail | 54.2M | 5.5% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 290M | 29.3% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
4.3% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?