1 of 92 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 6 distributing, 85 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 2 market maker wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sell | 96.5M MUSEBOOK $3K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 98% | 51m ago | |
0x5f11…ba5bWhale | Sell | 120M MUSEBOOK $3K | SWAP | 0.6x | 0% | 58% | 5h ago | |
0x5f11…ba5bWhale | Sell | 120M MUSEBOOK $3K | SWAP | 0.6x | 0% | 58% | 5h ago | |
0x3e36…091aWhale | Sell | 106M MUSEBOOK $3K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 100% | 10h ago | |
0xbe61…ba9fWhale | Sell | 228M MUSEBOOK $6K | SWAP | 1.2x | 0% | 119% | 16h ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sent | 49.4M MUSEBOOK $1K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 1.0x | 0% | 98% | 17h ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sent | 49.4M MUSEBOOK $1K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 1.0x | 0% | 98% | 17h ago | |
0x5f11…ba5bWhale | Buy | 46.8M MUSEBOOK $1K | SWAP | 0.6x | 0% | 58% | 19h ago | |
0x011b…c6d4Whale | Sell | 29.1M MUSEBOOK $818 | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 103% | 19h ago | |
0x5f11…ba5bWhale | Buy | 95.9M MUSEBOOK $3K | SWAP | 0.6x | 0% | 58% | 20h ago | |
0x5f11…ba5bWhale | Buy | 97.1M MUSEBOOK $3K | SWAP | 0.6x | 0% | 58% | 20h ago | |
0x011b…c6d4Whale | Buy | 29.1M MUSEBOOK $798 | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 103% | 24h ago | |
0x4681…ee2fWhale | Received | 119M MUSEBOOK $5K | Rotation | 0.6x | 100% | 0% | 24h ago | |
0x4681…ee2fWhale | Buy | 73.1M MUSEBOOK $2K | Rotation | 0.6x | 100% | 0% | 1d ago | |
0x0a2c…45e3Whale | Sell | 308M MUSEBOOK $8K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 96% | 1d ago | |
0x0a2c…45e3Whale | Sell | 103M MUSEBOOK $3K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 96% | 1d ago | |
0x0a2c…45e3Whale | Sell | 137M MUSEBOOK $4K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 96% | 1d ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Received | 23.9M MUSEBOOK $671 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 1.0x | 0% | 98% | 1d ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into MUSEBOOK?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 17.72B | 17.7% | 85% | |
| Exchanges | 5.21B | 5.2% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 29.32B | 29.3% | 80% | |
| Retail | 13.34B | 13.3% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 34.42B | 34.4% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
0.0% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?