4 of 43 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 3 distributing, 36 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 2 market maker wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x43af…516dWhale | Sell | 8.6M NOSH $6K | SWAP | 0.3x | 38% | 23% | 56m ago | |
0x1791…9d35Whale | Sell | 2.4M NOSH $2K | SWAP | 0.3x | 0% | 26% | 3h ago | |
0x1791…9d35Whale | Sell | 2.5M NOSH $2K | SWAP | 0.3x | 0% | 26% | 3h ago | |
0xfd6e…a847Whale | Sell | 4.0M NOSH $3K | SWAP | 4.6x | 30% | 361% | 4h ago | |
0x1e07…1a8bWhale | Sell | 1.3M NOSH $876 | SWAP | 0.8x | 33% | 63% | 5h ago | |
0x1e07…1a8bWhale | Sell | 1.3M NOSH $888 | SWAP | 0.8x | 33% | 63% | 5h ago | |
0x1e07…1a8bWhale | Sell | 1.4M NOSH $1K | SWAP | 0.8x | 33% | 63% | 5h ago | |
0x9c46…206cWhale | Sell | 7.5M NOSH $6K | SWAP | 0.8x | 0% | 82% | 6h ago | |
0xb996…bbd3Whale | Sell | 2.5M NOSH $2K | SWAP | 0.7x | 0% | 74% | 7h ago | |
0x18d8…d2a1Whale | Sell | 4.1M NOSH $3K | SWAP | 1.1x | 0% | 109% | 7h ago | |
0x9b66…3887Whale | Sell | 706K NOSH $617 | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 103% | 8h ago | |
0xaf93…8327Whale | Sell | 1.6M NOSH $1K | SWAP | 0.6x | 47% | 47% | 8h ago | |
0xd763…d19eWhale | Sell | 3.5M NOSH $3K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 101% | 9h ago | |
0xf063…e174Whale | Sent | 1.5M NOSH $1K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.8x | 0% | 78% | 13h ago | |
0x9016…e3e9Whale | Sent | 6.3M NOSH $5K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 14h ago | |
0x046a…518aWhale | Buy | 1.7M NOSH $1K | SWAP | 0.6x | 100% | 0% | 14h ago | |
0xd763…d19eWhale | Sell | 3.5M NOSH $3K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 101% | 14h ago | |
0x046a…518aWhale | Buy | 3.4M NOSH $2K | SWAP | 0.6x | 100% | 0% | 14h ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into NOSH?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnedlocked / inactive | 70.4M | 7.0% | 85% | |
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 114M | 11.4% | 85% | |
| Market makers | 5.4M | 0.5% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 359M | 35.9% | 80% | |
| Retail | 191M | 19.1% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 260M | 26.0% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
0.0% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?