0 of 5 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 0 distributing, 5 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x26fa…72f0Whale | Buy | 18.5M OTIS $802 | SWAP | 0.7x | 100% | 0% | 1d ago | |
0xabe0…98b1Whale | Buy | 11.7M OTIS $512 | SWAP | 0.3x | 91% | 18% | 2d ago | |
0x23ad…7bd8Whale | Buy | 7.1M OTIS $518 | SWAP | 0.2x | 100% | 0% | 2d ago | |
0x1ebd…6728Whale | Sell | 16.7M OTIS $1K | SWAP | 0.4x | 0% | 44% | 2d ago | |
0x1ebd…6728Whale | Sell | 16.7M OTIS $2K | SWAP | 0.4x | 0% | 44% | 2d ago | |
0xf113…1b61Whale | Received | 3.0M OTIS $1K | Rotation | 0.1x | 100% | 0% | 3d ago | |
0x75a9…4fd6Whale | Moved | 6.5M OTIS $775 | BRIDGE | — | — | — | 3d ago | |
0xaea8…110bWhale | Sell | 10.2M OTIS $735 | SWAP | 0.2x | 0% | 23% | 4d ago | |
0x863f…c5fdWhale | Sell | 12.2M OTIS $824 | SWAP | 0.7x | 0% | 70% | 4d ago | |
0x863f…c5fdWhale | Sell | 12.2M OTIS $824 | SWAP | 0.7x | 0% | 70% | 4d ago | |
0x863f…c5fdWhale | Buy | 10.4M OTIS $704 | SWAP | 0.7x | 0% | 70% | 4d ago | |
0x863f…c5fdWhale | Buy | 14.0M OTIS $944 | SWAP | 0.7x | 0% | 70% | 4d ago | |
0xd414…3abbWhale | Sell | 12.0M OTIS $1K | Rotation | 0.8x | 0% | 77% | 5d ago | |
0xd414…3abbWhale | Buy | 12.0M OTIS $1K | SWAP | 0.8x | 0% | 77% | 5d ago | |
0x1ebd…6728Whale | Sell | 7.0M OTIS $985 | SWAP | 0.4x | 0% | 44% | 5d ago | |
0x1ebd…6728Whale | Buy | 8.3M OTIS $1K | Rotation | 0.4x | 0% | 44% | 5d ago | |
0x23ad…7bd8Whale | Buy | 8.7M OTIS $1K | SWAP | 0.2x | 100% | 0% | 5d ago | |
0xd67d…d26cWhale | Moved | 14.5M OTIS $991 | BRIDGE | — | — | — | 5d ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into OTIS?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 373M | 37.3% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 150M | 15.0% | 80% | |
| Retail | 388M | 38.8% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 88.4M | 8.8% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
0.0% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?