61 of 163 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 23 distributing, 79 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 2 market maker wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x011b…c6d4Whale | Sell | 95.9K UBIK $812 | SWAP | 1.9x | 0% | 185% | 41m ago | |
0xf65e…a079Whale | Sell | 122K UBIK $1K | SWAP | 0.8x | 33% | 67% | 52m ago | |
0xf65e…a079Whale | Sell | 135K UBIK $1K | SWAP | 0.8x | 33% | 67% | 52m ago | |
0x8163…14b1Whale | Added LP | 3.6M UBIK $28K | LP ADD | 0.4x | 99% | 0% | 2h ago | |
0x8163…14b1Whale | Added LP | 2.9M UBIK $22K | LP ADD | 0.4x | 99% | 0% | 2h ago | |
0x7356…9a09Whale | Added LP | 11.1M UBIK $87K | LP ADD | 0.3x | 5% | 32% | 2h ago | |
0x7356…9a09Whale | Sent | 5.0M UBIK $41K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.3x | 5% | 32% | 2h ago | |
0x02c3…105cWhale | Added LP | 71.3K UBIK $559 | LP ADD | 0.5x | 0% | 46% | 2h ago | |
0xc540…3681Whale | Sell | 496K UBIK $4K | SWAP | 0.8x | 53% | 45% | 3h ago | |
0x4dd3…fa69Whale | Sell | 191K UBIK $2K | SWAP | 1.1x | 0% | 115% | 4h ago | |
0xf65e…a079Whale | Sell | 150K UBIK $1K | SWAP | 0.8x | 33% | 67% | 4h ago | |
0x6ad5…dfafWhale | Sell | 749K UBIK $6K | SWAP | — | — | — | 4h ago | |
0x6ad5…dfafWhale | Sell | 749K UBIK $6K | SWAP | — | — | — | 4h ago | |
0x0e67…2b5fWhale | Buy | 639K UBIK $5K | SWAP | 1.7x | 26% | 147% | 4h ago | |
0xb345…2a4eWhale | Sent | 800K UBIK $7K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.3x | 60% | 0% | 4h ago | |
0x0e67…2b5fWhale | Buy | 632K UBIK $5K | SWAP | 1.7x | 26% | 147% | 5h ago | |
0x0e67…2b5fWhale | Buy | 639K UBIK $5K | SWAP | 1.7x | 26% | 147% | 5h ago | |
0x0e67…2b5fWhale | Buy | 644K UBIK $5K | SWAP | 1.7x | 26% | 147% | 5h ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into UBIK?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 77.0M | 7.7% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 687M | 68.7% | 80% | |
| Retail | 34.7M | 3.5% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 303M | 30.3% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
19.0% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?