26 of 123 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 6 distributing, 91 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 2 market maker wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x34ca…6d9cWhale | Staked | 10 NET $3K | STAKE | 1.8x | 0% | 179% | 38m ago | |
0x34ca…6d9cWhale | Staked | 3.44 NET $937 | STAKE | 1.8x | 0% | 179% | 39m ago | |
0x34ca…6d9cWhale | Staked | 3.47 NET $946 | STAKE | 1.8x | 0% | 179% | 40m ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Staked | 16 NET $4K | STAKE | 0.5x | 0% | 48% | 45m ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sent | 9.09 NET $2K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 0% | 48% | 47m ago | |
0x5b92…3570Whale | Staked | 25 NET $7K | STAKE | 1.0x | 100% | 0% | 57m ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sent | 1.93 NET $524 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 0% | 48% | 2h ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sent | 1.93 NET $524 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 0% | 48% | 2h ago | |
0x0acd…4e47Whale | Staked | 2.80 NET $801 | STAKE | 1.0x | 100% | 0% | 2h ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Staked | 7.87 NET $2K | STAKE | 0.5x | 0% | 48% | 4h ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sent | 4.00 NET $1K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 0% | 48% | 4h ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sent | 3.30 NET $880 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.5x | 0% | 48% | 5h ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Staked | 2.27 NET $606 | STAKE | 0.5x | 0% | 48% | 5h ago | |
0x77b6…e3daWhale | Sent | 109 NET $29K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.9x | 0% | 85% | 5h ago | |
0x0acd…4e47Whale | Staked | 13 NET $3K | STAKE | 1.0x | 100% | 0% | 6h ago | |
0x4fbc…d717Whale | Staked | 4.52 NET $1K | STAKE | 1.0x | 92% | 13% | 6h ago | |
0x708d…b1a9Whale | Sent | 30 NET $8K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 1.6x | 0% | 155% | 6h ago | |
0xc552…cae8Whale | Staked | 8.55 NET $2K | STAKE | 1.0x | 100% | 0% | 6h ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into NET?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 671 | 0.5% | 85% | |
| Staking / lockslocked / inactive | 129K | 93.3% | 85% | |
| Market makers | 21 | 0.0% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 8.0K | 5.8% | 80% | |
| Retail | 1.3K | 1.0% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 3.8K | 2.8% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
0.0% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?