26 of 133 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 21 distributing, 86 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 3 market maker wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x7689…f571Whale | Sell | 188K SHROOM $2K | SWAP | 0.3x | 27% | 16% | 12m ago | |
0x7689…f571Whale | Sell | 250K SHROOM $2K | SWAP | 0.3x | 27% | 16% | 13m ago | |
0xf4d4…eeb6Whale | Moved | 4.4M SHROOM $36K | LP REMOVE | 0.6x | 86% | 17% | 51m ago | |
0x11bc…b136Whale | Sell | 735K SHROOM $6K | SWAP | 1.3x | 0% | 125% | 1h ago | |
0x288c…5045Whale | Sell | 548K SHROOM $4K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 105% | 3h ago | |
0x288c…5045Whale | Sell | 548K SHROOM $4K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 105% | 3h ago | |
0x288c…5045Whale | Sell | 365K SHROOM $3K | SWAP | 1.0x | 0% | 105% | 3h ago | |
0x7c94…f3c0Whale | Sent | 162K SHROOM $1K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.7x | 0% | 66% | 3h ago | |
0x9063…325cWhale | Sell | 421K SHROOM $4K | SWAP | 0.8x | 32% | 55% | 4h ago | |
0xc736…0144Whale | Sell | 116K SHROOM $983 | SWAP | 0.9x | 17% | 78% | 4h ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 155K SHROOM $1K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 9h ago | |
0x021f…60e7Whale | Sell | 405K SHROOM $3K | SWAP | 1.2x | 0% | 116% | 9h ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 218K SHROOM $2K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 9h ago | |
0xe601…0d08Whale | Sent | 91.1K SHROOM $754 | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 0% | 10h ago | |
0xf26f…37ccWhale | Buy | 310K SHROOM $3K | SWAP | 1.0x | 11% | 90% | 13h ago | |
0x25af…7e11Whale | Sell | 661K SHROOM $5K | SWAP | 0.5x | 49% | 11% | 14h ago | |
0x25af…7e11Whale | Sell | 1.2M SHROOM $9K | SWAP | 0.5x | 49% | 11% | 14h ago | |
0x25af…7e11Whale | Sell | 658K SHROOM $5K | SWAP | 0.5x | 49% | 11% | 14h ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into SHROOM?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnedlocked / inactive | 14.2M | 1.4% | 85% | |
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 76.3M | 7.6% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 579M | 57.9% | 80% | |
| Retail | 14.1M | 1.4% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 317M | 31.7% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
3.9% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?