127 of 525 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 76 distributing, 322 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 9 market maker wallets, 3 exchange wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 17.7K PONS $7K | SWAP | 56509x | 0% | 5,650,946% | 16m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 33.2K PONS $13K | SWAP | 56509x | 0% | 5,650,946% | 16m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 17.1K PONS $7K | SWAP | 56509x | 0% | 5,650,946% | 18m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 49.1K PONS $20K | SWAP | 56509x | 0% | 5,650,946% | 18m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 11.9K PONS $5K | SWAP | 56509x | 0% | 5,650,946% | 20m ago | |
0x6e86…12acWhale | Sell | 106K PONS $43K | SWAP | — | — | — | 20m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 49.4K PONS $20K | SWAP | 56509x | 0% | 5,650,946% | 20m ago | |
0x6e86…12acWhale | Sent | 22.1K PONS $9K | TRANSFERlow conf. | — | — | — | 21m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 49.4K PONS $20K | SWAP | 56509x | 0% | 5,650,946% | 21m ago | |
0xf11f…ce1cWhale | Sell | 35.5K PONS $14K | SWAP | 1.4x | 0% | 141% | 23m ago | |
0xc55d…536dExchange | Sent | 255K PONS $103K | CEX DEP | — | — | — | 24m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 24.1K PONS $10K | SWAP | 56509x | 0% | 5,650,946% | 27m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 33.6K PONS $14K | SWAP | 56509x | 0% | 5,650,946% | 27m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 9.2K PONS $4K | SWAP | 56509x | 0% | 5,650,946% | 30m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 49.4K PONS $20K | SWAP | 56509x | 0% | 5,650,946% | 31m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 17.5K PONS $7K | SWAP | 56509x | 0% | 5,650,946% | 36m ago | |
0xc216…5743Whale | Sell | 49.2K PONS $20K | SWAP | 56509x | 0% | 5,650,946% | 36m ago | |
0xf11f…ce1cWhale | Sell | 44.4K PONS $18K | SWAP | 1.4x | 0% | 141% | 37m ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into PONS?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnedlocked / inactive | 320M | 32.0% | 85% | |
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 12.2M | 1.2% | 85% | |
| Exchanges | 58.8M | 5.9% | 85% | |
| Market makers | 20.6M | 2.1% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 237M | 23.7% | 80% | |
| Retail | 135M | 13.5% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 216M | 21.6% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
18.3% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?