70 of 316 tracked profitable whales are holding or adding; 47 distributing, 199 exited.
Q: What exactly is each tracked profitable wallet doing with its position?
≥75% of bag held, principal recovered or ≥3x, no selling in 30D
Recovered ≥100% of principal and still holds ≥40% of the bag
Net +10% or more of holdings bought in 7D
First buy within 7D
No significant buying or selling in 30D
Sold ≥5% of the bag in 30D, ≥40% remains
<40% of bag remains, or ≥20% sold in 7D
<5% of the acquired tokens remain
Excluded from every whale metric: 5 market maker wallets, 7 exchange wallets, 2 bot / mev wallets. Their flow is shown in activity, labelled, but never counted as whale behavior.
Q: Have the whales already taken their initial capital out - and how much of the bag did they keep?
Principal recovered = realized value ÷ initial cost. Bag remaining = tokens still held ÷ tokens originally acquired (LP, staking and own-cluster transfers count as held).
Q: Is qualified money entering or leaving - counting only observed swaps and OTC trades?
Transfers, LP moves, bridging and CEX deposits are not counted as flow: they are not observed trades. CEX deposits appear in activity as estimated disposals.
Q: What did tracked wallets just do - and what kind of transaction was it really?
| Wallet | Action | Amount | Classification | PnL | Bag remaining | Principal rec. | Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0x5a2a…7fe8Whale | Sell | 251K CASHCAT $34K | SWAP | 0.8x | 0% | 83% | 9m ago | |
0x5a2a…7fe8Whale | Received | 251K CASHCAT $46K | Rotation | 0.8x | 0% | 83% | 9m ago | |
0xb1c9…8d00Whale | Sent | 77.5K CASHCAT $11K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.6x | 78% | 0% | 12m ago | |
0xcd2b…5799Whale | Sell | 82.0K CASHCAT $11K | SWAP | 0.8x | 0% | 80% | 22m ago | |
0xcd2b…5799Whale | Sell | 82.0K CASHCAT $11K | SWAP | 0.8x | 0% | 80% | 22m ago | |
0xb1c9…8d00Whale | Sent | 78.3K CASHCAT $11K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.6x | 78% | 0% | 43m ago | |
0xaa4d…38ddWhale | Sent | 162K CASHCAT $22K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 2% | 1h ago | |
0xaa4d…38ddWhale | Sent | 165K CASHCAT $22K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 2% | 1h ago | |
0xaa4d…38ddWhale | Sent | 182K CASHCAT $25K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 2% | 1h ago | |
0xb738…9472Whale | Sell | 5.0K CASHCAT $680 | SWAP | 7.9x | 0% | 793% | 2h ago | |
0xb738…9472Whale | Added LP | 11.8K CASHCAT $2K | LP ADD | 7.9x | 0% | 793% | 2h ago | |
0xc6a8…9939Whale | Sell | 50.0K CASHCAT $7K | Rotation | 0.8x | 22% | 69% | 2h ago | |
0xc6a8…9939Whale | Sell | 25.0K CASHCAT $4K | Rotation | 0.8x | 22% | 69% | 2h ago | |
0xc6a8…9939Whale | Sell | 25.0K CASHCAT $4K | Rotation | 0.8x | 22% | 69% | 2h ago | |
0xaa4d…38ddWhale | Sent | 228K CASHCAT $32K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 0.0x | 0% | 2% | 2h ago | |
0x2896…bc9cWhale | Sent | 73.3K CASHCAT $10K | TRANSFERlow conf. | 2.7x | 34% | 185% | 2h ago | |
0xc6a8…9939Whale | Sell | 50.0K CASHCAT $7K | Rotation | 0.8x | 22% | 69% | 2h ago | |
0xc6a8…9939Whale | Sell | 50.0K CASHCAT $7K | Rotation | 0.8x | 22% | 69% | 2h ago |
Q: When whales sold, where did the money go - and who rotated into CASHCAT?
Q: How much supply can actually hit the market - and how much of that sits with whales?
| Holder type | Tokens | % supply | Wallets | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnedlocked / inactive | 12.1M | 1.2% | 85% | |
| Liquidity poolslocked / inactive | 13.8M | 1.4% | 85% | |
| Staking / lockslocked / inactive | 2.8M | 0.3% | 85% | |
| Exchanges | 22.4M | 2.2% | 85% | |
| Market makers | 3.2M | 0.3% | 85% | |
| Active whales | 402M | 40.2% | 80% | |
| Retail | 263M | 26.3% | 60% | |
| Unclassified | 281M | 28.1% | 30% |
Q: How much latent sell pressure exists - given profit, behavior and concentration, not profit alone?
15.6% of identified tradable float is held by tracked wallets currently at >10x unrealized profit.
Base pressure rises with unrealized multiple; proven holders (principal out, bag kept, no 30D selling) are discounted ×0.6; recent distributors (×1.35), young wallets and low-quality wallets are marked up; current buyers are discounted.
Q: Which individual wallets show the strongest conviction - by behavior, not just size?